🏛️ 宏观面:FOMC + 联储讲话 + 跨市场指标
联储议息日程、Fed 主席与理事的最新公开演讲、基于词频分析的鹰鸽指数, 叠加 VIX / 10Y 美债 / DXY / CPI / 失业率 / 联邦基金利率 6 项跨市场关键指标。
📊 跨市场关键指标
VIX 恐慌指数
19.14
-1.75%
10Y 美债收益率
4.49%
-0.35%
美元指数 DXY
101.56
+0.07%
CPI 通胀(YoY)
334.0
同比 +4.27% · 2026-05-01
失业率
4.30%
同比 +2.38% · 2026-05-01
联邦基金利率
3.63%
同比 -16.17% · 2026-05-01
⚖️ 鹰鸽指数
偏鸽 (降息倾向)
偏鸽
偏鹰 (加息倾向)
基于过去 21 天 4 篇 Fed 公开发言的词频分析(鹰派词 2 次 / 鸽派词 5 次)。分值 -0.429。
最近 6 篇演讲倾向
- Waller, Welcoming Remarks on the International Role of the U.S. Dollar [鸽派] · Federal Reserve
- Barr, Deregulating in a Financial Boom: What Could Go Wrong? [鸽派] · Federal Reserve
📅 FOMC 议息日程
| 日期 | 说明 | 距今 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 7月会议(声明) | 34 天 |
| 2026-09-16 | 9月会议(声明 + SEP + 主席记者会) | 83 天 |
| 2026-11-04 | 11月会议(声明) | 132 天 |
| 2026-12-16 | 12月会议(声明 + SEP + 主席记者会) | 174 天 |
FOMC 决议公布美东时间 14:00 · 主席记者会 14:30 开始。
📜 最近 FOMC 声明 / 纪要
- Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the June 16-17 FOMC meeting
Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the June 16-17 FOMC meeting
2026-06-17 - Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
2026-06-17 - Minutes of the Board's discount rate meeting on April 20 and 29, 2026
Minutes of the Board's discount rate meeting on April 20 and 29, 2026
2026-05-26
🎤 Fed 主席与理事公开演讲
- Waller, Welcoming Remarks on the International Role of the U.S. Dollar
Speech At the Fifth Conference on the International Roles of the Dollar, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C.
Federal Reserve · 2026-06-22 - Barr, Deregulating in a Financial Boom: What Could Go Wrong?
Speech At American University, Washington, D.C.
Federal Reserve · 2026-06-06
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